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Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:06 pm
by Necrometer
this is in line with what most of the brainiacs are thinking. it's not really counter-productive to deceive people w/ false hope IMO, because pushing those infections into the future is still going to minimize hospitals being overwhelmed
this caught me off guard though:
In fact, because of the role of weather in the model presented in the Kristof article, two months of mitigations actually results in 50% more infections and deaths than two weeks of mitigations, since it pushes the peak of the epidemic to the winter instead of the summer, whose warmer months this model assumes causes lower transmission rates.
pulling the two key figures for the clickphobic
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:26 pm
by Geeheeb
Even if we have made zero progress on a vaccine by then, I am hoping that science in general will have at least advanced on treatment
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 1:13 pm
by featherboa
haha fuck
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 1:47 pm
by FVBTVS
sorry man
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 6:41 pm
by Toilet Fleet
Gee I wonder if any intrepid politicians would use this modeling information to cynically depress the total infection numbers temporarily in an effort to secure a win in November
Naaah
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 7:51 pm
by Necrometer
fortunately for my against-hope hopes that liars will not persist in their tiresome winning, it's kind of a lose-lose - maintaining social distancing for months will kill (has killed?) the economy; doing less will kill large quantities of people before "president choosing" day
but what the fuck do I know - orange man's approval is up & disapproval is down
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 8:18 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
Why is the y axis labelled 1-50m when it should be 1-200m? Am I missing something? Trying to fit all this in my head.
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 8:24 pm
by Necrometer
I think 180M is an area under the curve total - it's admittedly confusing when it's a curve instead of a bunch of discrete bars
like all the infections under the "filled in" red snakey part on the left total 14M, even though number of infections at any given time never comes close to the 10M mark
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Wed Apr 01, 2020 8:37 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
oh fuck me, good lookin out dude
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Sun Apr 05, 2020 2:48 pm
by Toilet Fleet
Showing real leadership in a crisis, former covid-skeptic Boris Johnson adopted a new method of social distancing by being placed in a wooden box under several feet of earth.
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:14 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
Boris Johnson
I can't believe you're not dead yet brother
Keep it sick and stay brutal
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Sun Apr 05, 2020 7:41 pm
by cxwx
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:22 am
by SKI DOO
Eight Bit Alien wrote: ↑Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:14 pm
Boris Johnson
I can't believe you're not dead yet brother
Keep it sick and stay brutal
Pray for BoJo
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:33 am
by Geeheeb
I'm being furloughed every other week due to low hospital census (can't pay the bills without elective surgery, and there is not much margin on a covid patient who spends a long time on a ventilator). I have to work every other week to onboard new hire staff.
The wave hasn't really hit yet here in Lansing, MI, and I really don't want to travel to Detroit to work so instead of applying for underemployment I'll try to pick up per diem work at a jail or homeless shelter. I already applied to the health department clinics, but I may be disqualified from working there because my parter would be a supervisor.
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 2:34 pm
by cxwx
Geeheeb wrote: ↑Mon Apr 06, 2020 11:33 am
I'm being furloughed every other week due to low hospital census (can't pay the bills without elective surgery, and there is not much margin on a covid patient who spends a long time on a ventilator). I have to work every other week to onboard new hire staff.
The wave hasn't really hit yet here in Lansing, MI, and I really don't want to travel to Detroit to work so instead of applying for underemployment I'll try to pick up per diem work at a jail or homeless shelter. I already applied to the health department clinics, but I may be disqualified from working there because my parter would be a supervisor.
Be careful man.
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 5:35 pm
by cxwx
Martin Shkreli wants to be let out of prison so he can help develop a cure. A true American hero.
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:00 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
MASS GRAVES
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:00 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
BORIS JOHNSON
FAMOUS MOP
IN BIG TROUBLE
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:02 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
BORIS JOHNSON, LIVING BOX OF TUMBLING-OVER FRENCH FRIES, ABANDONS POST IN COWARDLY ACT OF FATAL ILLNESS
GIRL WHO PLAYED HERMIONE PHOTOGRAPHED WITH NEW CAR
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:04 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
Geeheeb if anything bad happens to you because of our failure government I'll literally kill my neighbor in retribution
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:17 pm
by Necrometer
Eight Bit Alien wrote: ↑Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:02 pmBORIS JOHNSON, LIVING BOX OF TUMBLING-OVER FRENCH FRIES,
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:32 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
BORIS JOHNSON, THE THING THAT HAPPENS WHEN SPIDERS GET THEIR WISH, IN CRITICAL CONDITION
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:35 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
BORIS JOHNSON, WHO IS THE YELLOW SICKNESS LEFT BEHIND WHEN A SCARECROW IS CURED OF CIRRHOSIS, NOT FEELING TOO GOOD
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:39 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
BORIS JOHNSON, SENTIENT GOREGRIND LOGO, ADMITTED TO HOSPITAL
Re: James answers your coronavirus questions thread
Posted: Mon Apr 06, 2020 7:46 pm
by Eight Bit Alien
BORIS JOHNSON, MYTHOLOGICAL HAY-BEING ONCE ASSUMED TO BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ERGOT POISONING, FEARED ILL